Page 17 - Issue 01
P. 17

Disentangling explanations: Purpose of borrowing



       Examining the purpose for which households borrow can tell us something about the demand for credit.
       Table 3 presents the top five reasons for borrowing in 2020, and compares it with 2019.
       In  May-August  2019,  62%  of  rural  and  60%  of  urban  borrower  households  had  borrowed  for  reasons  of
       consumption expenditure. In May-August 2020, this had risen to 70% and 66% of rural and urban borrower
       households respectively. This is consistent with the importance of consumption smoothing, and of many
       households not having enough resources to survive for more than a few weeks. The increase for reasons of
       consumption expenditure is higher in urban regions. Urban India was more likely to be affected because of

       both the Covid infections and the intensity of the lockdown than rural India. Income transfers from the
       government are also likely to have targeted rural households than urban households.


















                                                                     Table 3: Purpose of borrowing



       There has been an increase in borrowing for business and debt-repayment reasons in this period as well.
       The numbers for rolling over debt went from about 9% to 12% of borrower households in urban regions, and
       from 7% to 9% of borrower households in rural regions. This suggests that households who would otherwise
       have serviced debt through business or personal income took recourse to borrowing when those cashflows
       subsided.  A  personal  insolvency  law  that  is  able  to  provide  some  relief  to  debtors  and  allow  for

       restructuring of the larger loans can help alleviate some of this stress.


       The fall in the number of borrower households seems to be driven by the fall in the borrowings for housing,
       durables purchase and investments. It is also likely that large purchases such as housing and durables are
       made through bank loans. The fall in the borrowings from banks may be a result of a fall in these large
       durable purchases.



       Conclusion


       We study the response of households on borrowings during the 2020 lockdown. We do not have data on the
       value of debt outstanding. We expected that there would be an increase in the number of households that
       borrow  owing  to  the  disruptions  to  economic  activity.  However,  it  is  remarkable,  that  despite  the  large
       shock, overall, there has been a reduction in the number of households that borrow. This fall is driven by

       fewer  households  borrowing  from  banks,  and  fewer  households  borrowing  for  housing,  and  consumer
       durables  purchases.  Households  continue  to  borrow  for  consumption  expenditure,  business  and  debt
       repayment. The most utilised sources of borrowing are friends and family and shops.





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